Monday 25 July 2016

Statipstics - part i

Here are some Tipster statistics ("statipstics") for the curious or bored...

Tips
Andre, Axel, Ben, Joris and Soren tipped every single game.
Excluding Pol-Por, Paul and Robert also tipped every game, while Tino joined lated, but then tipped every game.
That's an impressive effort for 51 matches over 4 weeks, so well done to those eight people.

Of the 51 matches, 12 were tipped by all 17 participants.
The least frequent tipper was Simon (missed 24/51 matches).

Games
France - Albania yielded the most points: 140 in total.
Eight people tipped the correct Score in this game.

We failed to tip the correct Score in 20 out of 51 matches (I told you it's a game of luck!)
The fewest points came from Germany - Poland: 0 points.
Next worse was Czech Republic - Turkey with 11 points.

16 people tipped the correct outcome (either correct Score, correct Margin or correct Result) in Poland - N. Ireland, France - Albania, and N. Ireland - Germany.

The game with the most number of correct results was when 14 people tipped Germany to beat Northern Ireland.

Scorers and Times
Eight people correctly tipped Bale to score the first goal for Wales against Slovakia.
Three people tipped the joint-closest time in Czech Republic - Croatia.

Goals
46 goals were tipped in 2 matches: England - Russia (31 for England, 15 for Russia) and Croatia - Portugal (26 for Croatia and 20 for Portugal).
The fewest goals were tipped for Iceland - Hungary (8 and 11, respectively).
Nobody tipped Iceland to score a goal against Portugal (with 35 goals tipped for the Portuguese), but the biggest delta was N. Ireland - Germany, with 1 goal tipped for the Irish and 39 tipped for the Germans.

Cock-ups
This was the most error-strewn Tipster in a decade of running Tipsters. :-(
I made at least 3 significant mistakes, and those were just the ones I noticed.

But I wasn't alone... many people managed to spell their own name wrong at least once. ;-)
Multiple people made mistakes with their password. Simon got his password wrong so many times that I actually changed my file to accept his wrong password as the right one. :-)

And of course, Ronaldo completely missed the ball on many occasions. :-)

Friday 8 July 2016

Day 22 Scoreboard

Here's the Scoreboard as we approach the final game of the Tipster.
Rank Name Points   Rank Name Points   Rank Name Points
1 Ines 245 8 Anne 168 15 Craig 124
2 Andy 196 9 Paul 167 16
3 Joris 191 10 Robert 160 17
4 Jim 183 11 André 156 18
5 Soeren 174 12 Ralph 146 19
6 Tino 173 13 20
7 Ben 171 14 Axel 134 21

Tipster Cup Semi-Finals

Tipster Cup

The Semi-Finals of the Tipster Cup end with the following scores:

Tino 8 - Andy 10
Anne 13 - Jim 5

So it's an all-Germany Final on Sunday, with
Andy v Anne

Game 50 Tips: Germany - France

Germany - France      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 1:2 Dimitri Payet 23 5 156
Andy 0:2 Olivier Giroud 75 10 196
Anne 2:1 Julian Draxler 23 0 168
Axel 1:0 Thomas Müller 66 0 134
Ben 1:2 Antoine Griezmann 45 11 171
Craig 1:2 Dimitri Payet 50 5 124
Ines 1:2 Olivier Giroud 39 5 245
Jim 2:1 Julian Draxler 42 0 183
Joris 2:0 Thomas Müller 35 0 191
Mark
Paul 1:0 Thomas Müller 70 0 167
Ralph 3:0 Thomas Müller 15 0 146
Richie
Robert 1:0 Thomas Müller 60 0 160
Simon
Soeren 2:1 Mesut Özil 34 0 174
Tino 0:1 Antoine Griezmann 112 8 173

Game 49 Report

Portugal - Wales
Congratulations to Anne, the only person to tip a 2-0 victory for Portugal and earn 10 points. Five other people tipped a win for the Portuguese to gain 5 points each.
Anne and Ben both tipped Ronaldo to score first, giving Anne 13 points from this game. Paul tipped the exact time, gaining 3 points.

Game 49 Tips: Portugal - Wales

Portugal - Wales      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 2:1 Nani 26 5 151
Andy 0:1 Gareth Bale 39 0 186
Anne 2:0 Cristiano Ronaldo 18 13 168
Axel 1:1 Gareth Bale 54 0 134
Ben 1:2 Cristiano Ronaldo 45 3 160
Craig 1:2 Gareth Bale 51 0 119
Ines 1:2 Gareth Bale 27 0 240
Jim 3:2 Éder 15 5 183
Joris 2:1 Gareth Bale 35 5 191
Mark
Paul 1:2 Gareth Bale 50 3 167
Ralph 1:0 Nani 81 5 146
Richie
Robert 0:0 Gareth Bale 1 0 160
Simon
Soeren 2:1 Nani 27 5 174
Tino 1:1 Gareth Bale 78 0 165

Monday 4 July 2016

Day 20 Scoreboard

With just 3 matches remaining, the Scoreboard looks like this.
Rank Name Points   Rank Name Points   Rank Name Points
1 Ines 240 8 Robert 160 15 Craig 119
2 Andy 186 9 Ben 157 16
3 Joris 186 10 Anne 155 17
4 Jim 178 11 André 146 18
5 Soeren 169 12 19
6 Tino 165 13 Ralph 141 20
7 Paul 164 14 Axel 134 21

Tipster Cup Quarter Finals

Tipster Cup

The Quarter Finals of the Tipster Cup end with the following scores:

Ines* 13 - Tino 15
Ben* 8 - Andy 12
Anne 19 - Joris 13
Jim 11 - Andre* 5

* indicates people whose scores were adjusted due to the Pol-Por match.

Applying the 'equalisation' to those games...
Ines actually scored 26 points during the Quarter Finals, but Tino could not tip in that match - so her score is reduced by the 13 points she gained from the Pol-Por match, giving her a total of 13 points instead of 26.
Ben actually scored 11 points during the QF. He gained 3 points from Pol-Pol, so his score is reduced by 3, bringing his total down from 11 to 8 points. Even without that reduction, Andy still beat him.
Anne and Joris both tipped the Pol-Por match, so no adjustment is needed there.
Andre didn't score any points from the Pol-Por game; Jim beat him anyway.


I've been asked for an image of the Tipster Cup tournament, something more useful than the image of a cup of tea. This screenshot should help you see the format.

So, the Semi-Finals see:
Tino v Andy
Anne v Jim

Three Germans, one American. ;-)

Game 48 Report

France - Iceland
Strangely, nobody tipped 5-2 for France. Four people, however, did tip a 3-goal French victory, and gain 7 points each: Andy, Craig, Paul and Tino. Seven other people collected 5 points.
Five people tipped Giroud to score. I was one of them, which surprised me, because I had actually meant to tip Griezmann. Tino tipped the closest time, just 1 minute away, to score 3 points.

Game 48 Tips: France - Iceland

France - Iceland      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 2:0 Antoine Griezmann 29 5 146
Andy 3:0 Antoine Griezmann 20 7 186
Anne 2:1 Olivier Giroud 34 8 155
Axel 1:1 Dimitri Payet 23 0 134
Ben 2:0 Olivier Giroud 45 8 157
Craig 3:0 Dimitri Payet 35 7 119
Ines 2:1 Olivier Giroud 41 8 240
Jim 1:1 Olivier Giroud 51 3 178
Joris 2:0 Olivier Giroud 40 8 186
Mark
Paul 3:0 Paul Pogba 30 7 164
Ralph x:x x 999 0 141
Richie
Robert 3:2 Birkir Bjarnason 20 5 160
Simon
Soeren 3:1 Antoine Griezmann 23 5 169
Tino 3:0 Antoine Griezmann 13 10 165

Sunday 3 July 2016

Game 47 Report

Germany - Italy
Nine people tipped Germany to win this match (five Germans tipped victory; two tipped defeat) and gain 5 points each. Nobody tipped Özil to score the opening goal of the game. Craig tipped the exact time for 3 points.
This report was almost as exciting as the match itself.

Game 47 Tips: Germany - Italy

Germany - Italy      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 0:2 Graziano Pellè 25 0 141
Andy 0:2 Graziano Pellè 8 0 179
Anne 2:1 Thomas Müller 17 5 147
Axel 3:1 Toni Kroos 12 5 134
Ben 0:1 Graziano Pellè 45 0 149
Craig 0:1 Graziano Pellè 65 3 112
Ines 2:1 Thomas Müller 29 5 232
Jim 2:1 Toni Kroos 30 5 175
Joris 2:1 Bastian Schweinsteiger 35 5 178
Mark
Paul 2:1 Mario Gómez 55 5 157
Ralph x:x x 999 0 141
Richie
Robert 2:0 Thomas Müller 50 5 155
Simon
Soeren 2:0 Mario Gómez 34 5 164
Tino 2:1 Thomas Müller 34 5 155

Game 46 Report

Wales - Belgium
The Dragons against the Devils started well for the ten people who tipped Belgium to win.
In the end, however, Andy, Craig and Ralph each collected 5 points for tipping a Welsh victory, leaving everybody else empty-handed, except Jim who tipped the closest time.

Game 46 Tips: Wales - Belgium

Wales - Belgium      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 0:2 Romelu Lukaku 29 0 141
Andy 1:0 Gareth Bale 51 5 179
Anne 1:2 Romelu Lukaku 28 0 142
Axel 2:2 Aaron Ramsey 23 0 129
Ben 1:2 Gareth Bale 45 0 149
Craig 1:0 Gareth Bale 80 5 109
Ines 0:2 Kevin De Bruyne 37 0 227
Jim 1:2 Divock Origi 17 3 170
Joris 0:2 Romelu Lukaku 35 0 173
Mark
Paul 0:2 Romelu Lukaku 35 0 152
Ralph 1:0 Kevin De Bruyne 25 5 141
Richie
Robert 0:2 Eden Hazard 35 0 150
Simon
Soeren 0:1 Eden Hazard 23 0 159
Tino 0:2 Kevin De Bruyne 34 0 150

Game 45 Report

Poland - Portugal
Of the people who were able to submit their tips on time, only one person tipped a 1-1 draw: well done Ines, 10 points for you.
Five people tipped Lewandowski to score the opening goal, giving them 3 points each. The closest time was tipped by Anne, 23 minutes out.
Remember that all points from this match are provisional, and will be 'equalised' where necessary.

Game 45 Tips: Poland - Portugal

Poland - Portugal      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 2:1 Arkadiusz Milik 32 0 141
Andy x:x x 999 0 174
Anne 2:1 Robert Lewandowski 25 6 142
Axel 0:1 Nani 72 5 129
Ben 1:0 Robert Lewandowski 45 3 149
Craig x:x x 999 0 104
Ines 1:1 Robert Lewandowski 45 13 227
Jim x:x x 999 0 167
Joris 2:1 Nani 35 0 173
Mark
Paul x:x x 999 0 152
Ralph 1:0 Robert Lewandowski 34 3 136
Richie
Robert x:x x 999 0 150
Simon
Soeren 1:2 Robert Lewandowski 33 8 159
Tino x:x x 999 0 150

Tipster Cup: Round One

Tipster Cup
Round One is now complete, and the scores from these 8 matches are below, with the winner highlighted:

Ines 39 - Robert 36
Tino 27 - Alex **
Soren 28 - Ben 33
Andy 35 - Axel 30
Simon ** - Anne 23
Joris 30 - Ralph 25
Paul 36 - Jim 45
Andre 25 - Craig 15

** = no donation received, therefore zero points scored in the Tipster Cup.

The winners from Round One proceed to the Quarter Finals of the Tipster Cup, which correlate to the Quarter Finals of Euro 2016.
The draw is:

Ines v Tino
Ben v Andy
Anne v Joris
Jim v Andre

Day 16 Scoreboard

The Quarter Finals of Euro 2016 end with Ines holding a commanding lead at the top of the table: 214 points, 40 ahead of her nearest rival. Andy squeezes past Joris by one point to claim 2nd place with 174 points.
Rank Name Points   Rank Name Points   Rank Name Points
1 Ines 214 8 Robert 150 15 Craig 104
2 Andy 174 9 Ben 146 16 Brexit
3 Joris 173 10 17 Bruggerit
4 Jim 167 11 André 141 18 Brollocks
5 Paul 152 12 Anne 136 19 Bruckit
6 Soeren 151 13 Ralph 133 20 Brassburgers
7 Tino 150 14 Axel 124 21 Breasts

Game 44 Report

England - Iceland
Most people tipped England to win this game, so well done Jim: the only person to tip a 2-1 victory for Iceland, giving him 10 points. Andy and Ines also tipped Iceland to win by one goal, earning them 7 points each.
Four people tipped Rooney to score the first goal of the game. Jim tipped the 16th minute for that goal, out by 12 minutes, but closer than anybody else, meaning he gains 13 points from this match.

Game 44 Tips: England - Iceland

England - Iceland      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 2:0 Jamie Vardy 23 0 141
Andy 0:1 Gylfi Sigurðsson 88 7 174
Anne 2:0 Wayne Rooney 28 3 136
Axel 2:1 Jamie Vardy 29 0 124
Ben 2:1 Wayne Rooney 45 3 146
Craig 3:0 Harry Kane 35 0 104
Ines 0:1 Kolbeinn Sigþórsson 44 7 214
Jim 1:2 Kolbeinn Sigþórsson 16 13 167
Joris 3:1 Wayne Rooney 35 3 173
Mark
Paul 2:0 Wayne Rooney 55 3 152
Ralph 3:0 Jamie Vardy 22 0 133
Richie
Robert 2:0 Jamie Vardy 50 0 150
Simon
Soeren 2:0 Harry Kane 29 0 151
Tino 2:0 Jamie Vardy 34 0 150

Game 43 Report

Italy - Spain
Three people tipped the Italians to win. Congratulations to Andy, who tipped the correct Score: 10 points for you. Anne and Ben both gain 5 points for the correct winner.
Chiellini was nobody's tip for first Scorer, but Soren tipped the exact Time to gain 3 points.

Game 43 Tips: Italy - Spain

Italy - Spain      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 0:2 Álvaro Morata 25 0 141
Andy 2:0 Graziano Pellè 54 10 167
Anne 2:1 Éder 38 5 133
Axel 1:1 Graziano Pellè 55 0 124
Ben 1:0 Graziano Pellè 45 5 143
Craig 1:1 Antonio Candreva 50 0 104
Ines 1:2 Álvaro Morata 31 0 207
Jim 1:2 Cesc Fàbregas 22 0 154
Joris 1:2 Álvaro Morata 35 0 170
Mark
Paul 0:1 Álvaro Morata 70 0 149
Ralph 0:2 Andrés Iniesta 44 0 133
Richie
Robert 0:1 Andrés Iniesta 69 0 150
Simon
Soeren 1:2 Andrés Iniesta 33 3 151
Tino 0:1 Álvaro Morata 78 0 150

Game 42 Report

Hungary - Belgium
Lots people tipped a Belgian victory - only Andy tipped in favour of the Hungarians - but nobody expected a 4-0 victory, so twelve people score 5 points each. Nobody tipped Alderweireld to score first; Andy made up (slightly) for tipping the wrong team by tipping the closest time, 4 minutes away from the actual time.

Game 42 Tips: Hungary - Belgium

Hungary - Belgium      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 0:3 Mousa Dembélé 26 5 141
Andy 2:1 Ádám Szalai 14 3 157
Anne 1:1 Zoltán Gera 52 0 128
Axel 1:2 Divock Origi 37 5 124
Ben 1:2 Romelu Lukaku 45 5 138
Craig 0:1 Marouane Fellaini 70 5 104
Ines 1:2 Zoltán Gera 54 5 207
Jim 1:1 Balázs Dzsudzsák 52 0 154
Joris 1:2 Romelu Lukaku 35 5 170
Mark
Paul 0:2 Romelu Lukaku 60 5 149
Ralph 0:2 Eden Hazard 44 5 133
Richie
Robert 0:2 Eden Hazard 55 5 150
Simon
Soeren 1:2 Kevin De Bruyne 32 5 148
Tino 1:2 Kevin De Bruyne 75 5 150

Game 41 Report

Germany - Slovakia
In a Tipster where everybody is tipping 1- and 2-goal victories, Joris and Paul were brave enough to tip 3-0 for Germany, and are rewarded with 10 points each.
Eleven other people gained 5 points. Nobody tipped Boateng to score first; the closest time was tipped by Paul, despite being out by 17 minutes, giving him 13 points from this match.

Game 41 Tips: Germany - Slovakia

Germany - Slovakia      Points
Name Score Scorer Time Points Running Total
Alex
André 2:1 Thomas Müller 35 5 136
Andy x:x x 999 0 154
Anne 2:0 Mario Gómez 26 5 128
Axel 2:1 Thomas Müller 33 5 119
Ben 2:0 Thomas Müller 45 5 133
Craig 2:1 Marek Hamšík 30 5 99
Ines 2:0 Mario Gómez 35 5 202
Jim 2:0 Sami Khedira 27 5 154
Joris 3:0 Thomas Müller 35 10 165
Mark
Paul 3:0 Thomas Müller 25 13 144
Ralph x:x x 999 0 128
Richie
Robert 3:1 Thomas Müller 35 5 145
Simon
Soeren 2:0 Thomas Müller 35 5 143
Tino 2:0 Toni Kroos 65 5 145

Saturday 2 July 2016

Tipster Cup Update

Tipster Cup
At "half-time" in Round 1 of the Tipster Cup, the scores are as follows:
Ines 22 - Robert 26
Tino 17 - Alex **
Soren 15 - Ben 15
Andy 15 - Axel 20
Simon ** - Anne 10
Joris 12 - Ralph 20
** = no donation received yet

Game 40 Report

France - Ireland
Well done, Jim: 10 points for you for tipping a 2-1 French victory. Ines scores 7 for the correct Margin, while 11 other people gain 5 points each.
Brady was nobody's first choice as Scorer; the closest time was tipped by somebody who still hasn't donated. :-(